And then Martin turned his attention to Fire and Blood, the base text for House of the Dragon TV series, and combined already written stories with 500 pages of new material to publish the history of the Targaryen dynasty. It seems that work on The Winds of Winter completely stopped until the finale of the television adaptation of HBO’s Game of Thrones and before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. So, from 2011 to 2016, it seems that not much progress has been made. This spawned many predictions from fans who calculated the publication date based on the pace of the writing, which was never accurate as he hadn’t been actively writing a book for several years. The main one is that Martin worked for years on material cut from A Dance with Dragons – 12 chapters of varying length, or about 200 pages of manuscript, and another 200 or so pages of drafts, presenting it as material written for a new book.
In June, YouTuber Preston Jacobs, who is leading a collaborative fan project to write his own version of The Winds of Winter, made a video called The Story of a Pessimist in which he closely tracked George Martin’s progress over the past 11 years and came to some depressing conclusions. “I think this one is going to be longer than that by the time I’m finished with it, and I think I’m about three-quarters of the way done, maybe? But that’s not 100 percent done, so I have to continue work on it.” It’s probably gonna be a larger book than any of the previous volumes in the series”, said George RR. “It’s a big, big book, I’ve said that before. Fans of the author have already begun to fear that the next novel, The Winds of Winter, will never be published, but now Martin himself claims that the manuscript is 75% ready. Martin has published A Dance with Dragons, the last novel in his unfinished A Song of Ice and Fire epic cycle. More than 11 years have passed since the writer George R.R.
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